Mathematical Risk Management

EMMS013S7 (30 credits)
Full-time and Part-time year 2
Autumn and Spring Terms, over 20 weeks

Lecturers: Simon Hubbert, and Steve Satchell

Aims

The course provides an introduction to modern risk management theory and practice. Students will develop problem-solving skills in risk management applications and become conversant with up-to-date techniques employed by financial institutions.

Objectives

  • To develop knowledge of statistical techniques applicable to measuring risk in portfolios.
  • To learn how to apply these techniques in practice.
  • To become acquainted with standard risk models and to have a thorough critical understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of these models.

Topics

  • Introduction to key concepts of risk v reward.
  • Utility Theory.
  • The optimal portfolio problem.
  • The Capital Asset Pricing Model.
  • Arbitrage pricing theorem and factor models.
  • Statistical properties of financial returns.
  • Loss distribution risk measures such as VaR and TVaR.
  • VaR with derivative portfolios.
  • Extreme Value Theory techniques applied to VaR measurement.
  • The Basel proposals for bank capital requirements.
  • Backtesting Risk Models.
  • Credit risk modeling including Credit-VaR.
  • Modeling Volatility and Correlation using GARCH techniques.
  • Strategic Asset Allocation.
  • Tactical asset allocation.
  • Performance measurement.
  • Hedge fund risk.
  • Risks associated to the choice of model and the liquidity of the market.

Course Assessment

The final grade is determined through a three-hour exam in June and a take-home exercise in the Easter vacation.

Textbooks

Lecture notes will be distributed.

Department of Economics, Mathematics and Statistics, Birkbeck, University of London, Malet St, London WC1E 7HX.