|
|
Vincent Sterk (UCL)
Thursday 18th October, room 745, 12:30 Title: Job uncertainty and deep recessions (joint with Morten Ravn) Abstract: We study a heterogeneous agents model which combines matching frictions in the labor market with incomplete asset markets and nominal rigidities. Workers can experience job terminations that send them into short term unemployment or more serious job terminations that require a more difficult search process, a state we call for mismatch. We show an increase in job uncertainty decreases aggregate demand which lowers hiring and therefore produces even more job uncertainty and potentially a deep recession. The amplification mechanism is small when asset markets are complete or prices are flexible. We study whether, with a moderate and empirically plausible amount of mismatch, the model can account for the amplitude of the increase in unemployment during the Great Recession, for the increase in unemployment duration, and for the shift and movement along the Beveridge curve.
|
|
|
Department of Economics, Mathematics and Statistics, Birkbeck, University of London, Malet St, London WC1E 7HX.
|